Abstract: Failure prediction has its origins at the turn of the 15th and 16th centuries. Trade companies tried to calculate what was the risk with shipping goods over the sea. Modern failure predictions start in 70’s of 20th century. Naturally software prediction has its origins in failure prediction of electronic equipments. Nomenclature and definitions are very often similar to those used in electronics. Since 70’s scientists have been trying to find perfect model to simulate failures in software.

Keywords: system availability , failure, prediction, reliability, risk management

ACM Classification Keywords: G. Mathematics of Computing, G.3 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS, G.3 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS, Reliability and life testing

Link:

FAILURE PREDICTION IN COMPLEX COMPUTER SYSTEMS

Paweł Janczarek

http://foibg.com/ibs_isc/ibs-20/ibs-20-p24.pdf